Russian macroeconomicsbeta

Real key rate versus current inflation

REAL_RATE_CURRENT · Monetary policy

Key rate less the current inflation impulse (CPI 3m SAAR), percentage points.

Latest value
6.16% p.a.
Period August 2026 · Published Sep 12, 2026, 01:00 PM MSK

How to read it

How tight policy is against the inflation actually running now. A positive value means the rate is above the current pace of prices. It is a noisy series, inheriting revisions to the seasonal adjustment.

How it is measured

End-of-month key rate minus CPI 3m SAAR for the same month. Calculated here; the Bank of Russia does not publish it.

History

DateValue
August 20266.16% p.a.
July 20267.33% p.a.
June 20269.41% p.a.
May 202611.44% p.a.
April 20269.14% p.a.
March 20264.06% p.a.
February 20266.53% p.a.
January 20268.60% p.a.
December 202512.51% p.a.
November 202510.79% p.a.
October 202511.97% p.a.
September 202511.90% p.a.